6 bd · 3.0 ba ·
2,838 sqft ·
Built 1905
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 70 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,872/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$587
Tax + insurance
−$187
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,023
Net cashflow
$3,075/mo
Annual
$36,898/yr
Cap rate
39.24%
Cash-on-cash
117.66%
DSCR
6.24
1% rule
4.35%
Cash to close
$31,360
Investor read
This is a 3 × 5-bed/3.0-bath units multifamily listed at $112k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $3k ($37k/yr) — positive. Per door: $1k/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $112k).
It's been on market 70 days — a 6% lower offer ($105k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $105k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $774 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#148 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B; Watch: employment D+, crime D-, amenities F.
Owensboro Independent (urban): math 27% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #100 of 165 in KY (top 61%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Foust Elementary School (math 23% / reading 31%, grade F, #434 of 676 statewide, top 69%, 411 students, 88% FRL); Owensboro Middle School (math 25% / reading 34%, grade F, #151 of 217 statewide, top 71%, 807 students, 74% FRL); Owensboro High School (math 30% / reading 40%, grade F, #74 of 254 statewide, top 29%, 1,334 students, 58% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1905 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 297 active listings in the ZIP; 226 units permitted in Daviess County in 2024 (6 in 5+ unit buildings).
Daviess County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 39.2% vs local median 3.1% in Owensboro — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $4,872/mo this rent would consume 87% of the median local household income ($67k/yr) (locally 1228% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 70 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1905 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29