3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,792 sqft ·
Built 2007
· Other
· Active
· 50 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,965/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,127
Tax + insurance
−$142
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$413
Net cashflow
$283/mo
Annual
$3,393/yr
Cap rate
7.87%
Cash-on-cash
5.64%
DSCR
1.25
1% rule
0.91%
Cash to close
$60,200
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $215k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $283 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $196k (8.6% below list).
It's been on market 50 days — a 3% lower offer ($209k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $196k (8.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#181 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Russell County (rural): math 29% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #67 of 165 in KY (top 41%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Jamestown Elementary School (math 22% / reading 37%, grade F, #393 of 676 statewide, top 63%, 476 students, 75% FRL); Russell County Middle School (math 29% / reading 47%, grade F, #71 of 217 statewide, top 33%, 677 students, 69% FRL); Russell County High School (math 32% / reading 42%, grade F, #58 of 254 statewide, top 27%, 832 students, 64% FRL).
Market conditions: 123 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby.
Russell County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
5 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $174k; 24% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 4.3% in Russell Springs — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 50 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-AEVX5Z3QYJBJN3
· Data 13 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29