3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,456 sqft ·
Built 1989
· Manufactured
· Active
· 33 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,235/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,153
Tax + insurance
−$366
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$469
Net cashflow
$246/mo
Annual
$2,950/yr
Cap rate
7.63%
Cash-on-cash
4.79%
DSCR
1.21
1% rule
1.02%
Cash to close
$61,572
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $220k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $246 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $220k).
It's been on market 33 days — a 3% lower offer ($213k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $213k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Harris County (rural): math 41% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #27 of 174 in GA (top 16%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: New Mountain Hill Elementary School (math 57% / reading 57%, grade C+, #151 of 1,228 statewide, top 13%, 501 students, 30% FRL); Creekside School (math 39% / reading 43%, grade F, #135 of 470 statewide, top 29%, 858 students, 30% FRL); Harris County High School (math 30% / reading 39%, grade F, #88 of 424 statewide, top 22%, 1,703 students, 25% FRL) — zoned schools at 29% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: 189 active listings in the ZIP; 189 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Harris County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 68% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 33 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-AEXWE44T083P9E
· Data 10 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29