3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,304 sqft ·
Built 1944
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 108 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,130/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$105
Tax + insurance
−$41
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$237
Net cashflow
$747/mo
Annual
$8,967/yr
Cap rate
51.13%
Cash-on-cash
160.12%
DSCR
8.12
1% rule
5.65%
Cash to close
$5,600
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $20k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $747 ($9k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $20k).
It's been on market 108 days — a 9% lower offer ($18k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $18k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $138 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $600 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#83 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime B+, housing B+; Watch: health & safety D+, schools D, amenities F.
Grenada School District (town): math 53% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #19 of 130 in MS (top 15%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: built in 1944 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 128 active listings in the ZIP; 1 units permitted in Grenada County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Grenada County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $6k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 51.1% vs local median 4.5% in Grenada — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 108 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1944 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-AF2A7D4N9SW9K9
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29