3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,797 sqft ·
Built 1982
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 7 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,010/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$734
Tax + insurance
−$233
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$422
Net cashflow
$620/mo
Annual
$7,446/yr
Cap rate
11.61%
Cash-on-cash
18.99%
DSCR
1.85
1% rule
1.44%
Cash to close
$39,200
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $140k. Condition is rated poor.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $620 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
In year one you build about $5k of equity ($968 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.2% local appreciation)).
Location reads 60/100 on livability (#79 in AK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living B+, crime B; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
Kenai Peninsula Borough School District (rural): math 35% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #8 of 21 in AK (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Tustumena Elementary (math 32% / reading 47%, grade F, #75 of 156 statewide, top 52%, 135 students, 47% FRL); Skyview Middle School (math 32% / reading 50%, grade F, #15 of 36 statewide, top 40%, 374 students, 38% FRL); Soldotna High School (math 27% / reading 37%, grade F, #33 of 61 statewide, top 57%, 707 students, 26% FRL).
Market conditions: 66 active listings in the ZIP; 152 units permitted in Kenai Peninsula Borough in 2024 (20 in 5+ unit buildings).
Kenai Peninsula County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (3.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: Exterior siding
— Damaged and peeling
Major: Roof
— Appears old and weathered
Major: Flooring
— Worn and uneven
Major: Interior walls
— Damaged and paint peeling
Major: Plumbing and other systems
— Condition unknown
CashFlowRE · CFR-AF2NMHBVYJGV82
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29