5 bd · 3.0 ba ·
2,637 sqft ·
Built 2026
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 120 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,387/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,663
Tax + insurance
−$529
HOA
−$192
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$501
Net cashflow
$-498/mo
Annual
$-5,975/yr
Cap rate
4.41%
Cash-on-cash
-6.73%
DSCR
0.70
1% rule
0.75%
Cash to close
$88,804
Investor read
This is a 5-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $285k. Condition is rated excellent.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-498 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $245k (14.0% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $239k (16.2% below list).
It's been on market 120 days — a 9% lower offer ($259k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $239k (16.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade F — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Huffman ISD (rural): math 32% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #500 of 826 in TX (top 60%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Falcon Ridge El (math 30% / reading 35%, grade F, #2,234 of 4,322 statewide, top 52%, 689 students, 49% FRL); Huffman Middle (math 36% / reading 32%, grade F, #892 of 1,662 statewide, top 55%, 907 students, 42% FRL); Hargrave H S (math 31% / reading 46%, grade F, #866 of 1,632 statewide, top 54%, 1,125 students, 36% FRL).
Market conditions: 738 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $34k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 120 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-AG5WG09HJNVJ7A
· Data 12 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29