4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,328 sqft ·
Built 1918
· Other
· Pending
· 15 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,659/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$918
Tax + insurance
−$292
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$348
Net cashflow
$101/mo
Annual
$1,212/yr
Cap rate
6.99%
Cash-on-cash
2.47%
DSCR
1.11
1% rule
0.95%
Cash to close
$49,000
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $175k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $101 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $166k (5.2% below list).
It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($172k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $166k (5.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 70/100 on livability (#283 in WI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D, amenities F, commute F.
Beloit School District (urban): math 8% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #339 of 342 in WI (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Merrill Elementary (math 5% / reading 5%, grade F, #968 of 1,041 statewide, top 98%, 180 students, 88% FRL); Fran Fruzen Intermediate (math 7% / reading 14%, grade F, #370 of 383 statewide, top 97%, 461 students, 72% FRL); Memorial High (math 8% / reading 14%, grade F, #438 of 483 statewide, top 91%, 1,417 students, 66% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1918 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.0%/yr); 203 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 629 units permitted in Rock County in 2024 (263 in 5+ unit buildings).
Rock County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $45k; list at $175k implies a 289% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 3.5% in Beloit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1918 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-AGG2YY5A5T2XH4
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29