4 bd · 3.0 ba ·
2,220 sqft ·
Built 2007
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 55 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$6,563/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$5,533
Tax + insurance
−$891
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,378
Net cashflow
$-1,239/mo
Annual
$-14,871/yr
Cap rate
4.88%
Cash-on-cash
-5.03%
DSCR
0.78
1% rule
0.62%
Cash to close
$295,400
Investor read
This is a 2 × 2-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $1.05M.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-15k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-620/mo.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $836k (20.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $656k (37.8% below list).
It's been on market 55 days — a 3% lower offer ($1.02M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $656k (37.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $113k of equity ($7k loan paydown + $106k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
Zoned schools: Elm Tree Elementary School (math 27% / reading 52%, grade F, #1,444 of 2,108 statewide, top 71%, 806 students, 94% FRL); Is 227 Louis Armstrong (math 52% / reading 69%, grade B+, #153 of 729 statewide, top 21%, 1,528 students, 68% FRL); Midwood High School (math 94% / reading 96%, grade A+, #83 of 1,100 statewide, top 8%, 4,062 students, 73% FRL).
Market conditions: 80 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 27d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 5,302 units permitted in Queens County in 2024 (4,918 in 5+ unit buildings).
Queens County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$181k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 4.9% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $6,563/mo this rent would consume 158% of the median local household income ($50k/yr) (locally 1734% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 55 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 38% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29