2 bd · 3.0 ba ·
1,160 sqft ·
Built 1985
· Townhouse
· Active
· 26 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,578/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$991
Tax + insurance
−$221
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$331
Net cashflow
$35/mo
Annual
$420/yr
Cap rate
6.52%
Cash-on-cash
0.79%
DSCR
1.04
1% rule
0.84%
Cash to close
$52,920
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/3.0-bath townhouse listed at $189k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $35 ($420/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $158k (16.5% below list).
It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($186k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $158k (16.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 70/100 on livability (#100 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D, amenities F, commute F.
Clayton County (suburban): math 11% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #155 of 174 in GA (top 89%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 78% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Pointe South Elementary School (math 5% / reading 17%, grade F, #1,071 of 1,228 statewide, top 88%, 531 students, 90% FRL); Pointe South Middle School (math 8% / reading 22%, grade F, #399 of 470 statewide, top 86%, 760 students, 90% FRL); Riverdale High School (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #315 of 424 statewide, top 76%, 1,333 students, 90% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.1%/yr); 259 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 865 units permitted in Clayton County in 2024 (448 in 5+ unit buildings).
Clayton County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $52k; list at $189k implies a 263% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-AH251QAZ1P9C50
· Data 4 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29