3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,141 sqft ·
Built 1928
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 102 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,570/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$8,915
Tax + insurance
−$1,486
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$750
Net cashflow
$-7,581/mo
Annual
$-90,972/yr
Cap rate
0.94%
Cash-on-cash
-19.11%
DSCR
0.15
1% rule
0.21%
Cash to close
$476,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath multifamily listed at $1.70M.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-8k ($-91k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $361k (78.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $357k (79.0% below list).
It's been on market 102 days — a 9% lower offer ($1.55M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $357k (79.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $12k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $51k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#177 in FL, #2,724 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F, cost of living F.
Miami-Dade (suburban): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #40 of 73 in FL (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Santa Clara Elementary School (math 30% / reading 28%, grade F, #1,932 of 2,144 statewide, top 91%, 596 students, 59% FRL); Georgia Jones Ayers Middle School (math 13% / reading 16%, grade F, #568 of 571 statewide, top 100%, 543 students, 68% FRL); Miami Jackson Senior High School (math 13% / reading 22%, grade F, #575 of 667 statewide, top 86%, 1,305 students, 62% FRL) — zoned schools at 63% FRL track the district average.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 20% at this address vs 50% district-wide (-29 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Miami-Dade average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Watch-outs: built in 1928 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.3%/yr); 296 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $70k; list at $1.70M implies a 2329% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→29/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 0.9% vs local median 1.9% in Miami — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 102 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 79% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1928 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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