4 bd · 3.0 ba ·
2,162 sqft ·
Built 1925
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 44 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,395/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,625
Tax + insurance
−$583
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$923
Net cashflow
$1,264/mo
Annual
$15,172/yr
Cap rate
11.19%
Cash-on-cash
17.49%
DSCR
1.78
1% rule
1.42%
Cash to close
$86,772
Investor read
This is a 2 × 4-bed/1.5-bath units multifamily listed at $310k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive. Per door: $632/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $310k).
It's been on market 44 days — a 3% lower offer ($301k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $301k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 81/100 on livability (#21 in CT, #1,585 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, commute F.
Bristol School District (suburban): math 28% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #109 of 153 in CT (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.4%/yr); 220 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 44% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 502 units permitted in Naugatuck Valley Planning Region in 2024 (171 in 5+ unit buildings).
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.4% rent growth), your $87k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 8→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 11.2% vs local median 3.3% in Bristol — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $4,395/mo this rent would consume 66% of the median local household income ($79k/yr) (locally 2172% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 44 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
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· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29