64 bd · None ba ·
8,843 sqft ·
Built 1950
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 360 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$12,090/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$4,720
Tax + insurance
−$1,356
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$2,539
Net cashflow
$3,476/mo
Annual
$41,707/yr
Cap rate
10.93%
Cash-on-cash
16.55%
DSCR
1.74
1% rule
1.34%
Cash to close
$252,000
Investor read
This is a 8 × 2-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $900k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $3k ($42k/yr) — positive. Per door: $434/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($12k rent vs $900k).
It's been on market 360 days — a 12% lower offer ($792k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $792k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $6k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $27k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#398 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, employment D+, amenities F.
Southwestern Central School District At Jamestown (town): math 45% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #373 of 590 in NY (top 63%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 39 active listings in the ZIP; 127 units permitted in Chautauqua County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Chautauqua County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
7 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask is 112400% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $252k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 10.9% vs local median 3.0% in Lakewood — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 360 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
CashFlowRE · CFR-AHF2H12Y2JASJS
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29