6 bd · 3.0 ba ·
— sqft ·
Built —
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 125 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,804/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$314
Tax + insurance
−$100
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$379
Net cashflow
$1,011/mo
Annual
$12,134/yr
Cap rate
26.55%
Cash-on-cash
72.35%
DSCR
4.22
1% rule
3.01%
Cash to close
$16,772
Investor read
This is a 2 × 3-bed/1.5-bath units multifamily listed at $60k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($12k/yr) — positive. Per door: $506/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $60k).
It's been on market 125 days — a 12% lower offer ($53k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $53k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $414 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 70/100 on livability (#375 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: housing C-, crime F, employment F.
Carbondale Chsd 165 (urban): math 26% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #279 of 620 in IL (top 45%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Parrish Elem School (495 students, 0% FRL); Carbondale Middle School (math 5% / reading 14%, grade F, #597 of 665 statewide, top 91%, 446 students, 0% FRL); Carbondale Comm H S (math 26% / reading 35%, grade F, #175 of 693 statewide, top 26%, 997 students, 0% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.5%/yr); 201 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 5 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.5% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 26.6% vs local median 4.8% in Carbondale — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $1,804/mo this rent would consume 62% of the median local household income ($35k/yr) (locally 2038% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 125 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-AKC0AQ8KPN52H5
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29