2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,293 sqft ·
Built 1971
· Condo
· Active
· 248 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$5,731/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,988
Tax + insurance
−$632
HOA
−$1,685
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,204
Net cashflow
$223/mo
Annual
$2,679/yr
Cap rate
7.00%
Cash-on-cash
2.52%
DSCR
1.11
1% rule
1.51%
Cash to close
$106,120
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $379k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $223 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($6k rent vs $379k).
It's been on market 248 days — a 12% lower offer ($334k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $334k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $22k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $19k appreciation (5.1% local appreciation)).
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#530 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, employment A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
Palm Beach (suburban): math 46% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #34 of 73 in FL (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: HOA is 29% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.9%/yr); 447 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 3,974 units permitted in Palm Beach County in 2024 (1,012 in 5+ unit buildings).
Palm Beach County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
5 sale attempts since 21y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $31k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $255k; 49% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (5.1% appreciation + 3.9% rent growth), your $106k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
At $5,731/mo this rent would consume 46% of the median local household income ($151k/yr) (locally 213% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 248 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-AM8KWWFTS5C0V0
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29