12 bd · 4.5 ba ·
3,039 sqft ·
Built 1963
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 43 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$13,467/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$4,714
Tax + insurance
−$1,498
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$2,828
Net cashflow
$4,426/mo
Annual
$53,114/yr
Cap rate
12.20%
Cash-on-cash
21.10%
DSCR
1.94
1% rule
1.50%
Cash to close
$251,720
Investor read
This is a 3 × 4-bed/1.5-bath units multifamily listed at $899k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $4k ($53k/yr) — positive. Per door: $1k/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($13k rent vs $899k).
It's been on market 43 days — a 3% lower offer ($872k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $872k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $6k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $27k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Mahopac Central School District (suburban): math 61% / reading 65% proficiency, ranked #156 of 590 in NY (top 26%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 8% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Austin Road Elementary School (math 42% / reading 67%, grade C, #908 of 2,108 statewide, top 46%, 585 students, 22% FRL); Mahopac Middle School (math 56% / reading 70%, grade B+, #129 of 729 statewide, top 18%, 926 students, 24% FRL); Mahopac High School (math 97% / reading 72%, grade A, #379 of 1,100 statewide, top 36%, 1,254 students, 24% FRL) — zoned schools average 23% FRL vs 8% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 160 active listings in the ZIP; 142 units permitted in Putnam County in 2024 (75 in 5+ unit buildings).
Putnam County population projected to shrink 3% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $650k; 38% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $252k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 12.2% vs local median 1.9% in Carmel — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 43 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1963 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-AM8M4DAS9MKYYF
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29