101 Serenity Ln

Maggie Valley, NC 28721

$110,000B-

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 960 sqft · Built 1988 · Manufactured · Active · 43 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $1,851/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$577
• Tax + insurance: −$97
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$389
• Net cashflow: $788/mo
• Annual: $9,457/yr
• Cap rate: 14.89%
• Cash-on-cash: 30.70%
• DSCR: 2.37
• 1% rule: 1.68%
• Cash to close: $30,800

Investor read

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $110k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $788 ($9k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $110k).
• It's been on market 43 days — a 3% lower offer ($107k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $107k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 51/100 on livability (#701 in NC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living A; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
• Haywood County Schools (suburban): math 55% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #50 of 178 in NC (top 28%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Zoned schools: Riverbend Elementary (math 77% / reading 77%, grade A, #38 of 1,410 statewide, top 3%, 183 students, 52% FRL); Tuscola High (math 57% / reading 60%, grade C, #235 of 535 statewide, top 45%, 917 students, 49% FRL) — zoned schools at 51% FRL track the district average.
• Zoned-school proficiency averages 68% at this address vs 54% district-wide (+14 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Haywood County Schools average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
• Market conditions: 160 active listings in the ZIP; 537 units permitted in Haywood County in 2024 (150 in 5+ unit buildings).
• 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $84k; 32% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
• Cap rate 14.9% vs local median 2.3% in Maggie Valley — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Questions for listing agent

• It's been on market 43 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
• Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.