2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,710 sqft ·
Built 1955
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 52 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,000/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,358
Tax + insurance
−$299
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$420
Net cashflow
$-77/mo
Annual
$-924/yr
Cap rate
6.24%
Cash-on-cash
-0.17%
DSCR
0.99
1% rule
0.77%
Cash to close
$72,520
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $259k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-77 ($-924/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $245k (5.3% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $200k (22.8% below list).
It's been on market 52 days — a 3% lower offer ($251k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $200k (22.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $28k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $26k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 58/100 on livability (#442 in GA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D, schools F, amenities F.
Madison County (rural): math 46% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #29 of 174 in GA (top 17%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 64 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 189 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
12 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $118k; list at $259k implies a 120% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $73k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$45k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 2.5% in Ila — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 52 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 23% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-AMW9P1DH22TA44
· Data 4 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29