3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,725 sqft ·
Built 1940
· Other
· Pending
· 55 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,238/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,573
Tax + insurance
−$420
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$470
Net cashflow
$-224/mo
Annual
$-2,693/yr
Cap rate
5.40%
Cash-on-cash
-3.21%
DSCR
0.86
1% rule
0.75%
Cash to close
$83,972
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $300k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-224 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $260k (13.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $224k (25.4% below list).
It's been on market 55 days — a 3% lower offer ($291k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $224k (25.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Hartland Consolidated Schools (suburban): math 52% / reading 62% proficiency, ranked #41 of 540 in MI (top 8%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 11% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 132 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 488 units permitted in Livingston County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Livingston County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
4 sale attempts since 16y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $100k (25%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $95k; list at $300k implies a 216% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 5.4% vs local median 2.9% in Hartland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 55 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 25% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
CashFlowRE · CFR-AN640K47XSN0W9
· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29