3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,378 sqft ·
Built 1960
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 40 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,627/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$449
Tax + insurance
−$92
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$342
Net cashflow
$743/mo
Annual
$8,922/yr
Cap rate
16.70%
Cash-on-cash
37.18%
DSCR
2.65
1% rule
1.90%
Cash to close
$23,996
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $86k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $743 ($9k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $86k).
It's been on market 40 days — a 3% lower offer ($83k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $83k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $593 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 60/100 on livability (#219 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A, crime B+; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
Columbus Municipal School District (town): math 9% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #113 of 130 in MS (top 87%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 84% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Cook Elementary School (math 8% / reading 22%, grade F, #274 of 375 statewide, top 74%, 388 students, 100% FRL); Columbus Middle School (math 8% / reading 15%, grade F, #149 of 179 statewide, top 84%, 667 students, 100% FRL); Columbus High School (math 10% / reading 16%, grade F, #155 of 197 statewide, top 80%, 898 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 84% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 10 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 130 units permitted in Lowndes County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lowndes County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 47% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($55k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 40 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-AN9H5J9WYV7VAD
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29