4 bd · 1.0 ba ·
832 sqft ·
Built 1940
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 37 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$988/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$257
Tax + insurance
−$59
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$207
Net cashflow
$464/mo
Annual
$5,574/yr
Cap rate
17.67%
Cash-on-cash
40.62%
DSCR
2.81
1% rule
2.02%
Cash to close
$13,720
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $49k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $464 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($988 rent vs $49k).
It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $48k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $339 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Apollo-Ridge SD (rural): math 23% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #425 of 539 in PA (top 79%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 6 active listings in the ZIP; 44 units permitted in Indiana County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Indiana County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-APHK3D0ZS9HYG6
· Data 9 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29