6 bd · 2.0 ba ·
996 sqft ·
Built 1925
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 104 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,800/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,229
Tax + insurance
−$650
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$798
Net cashflow
$123/mo
Annual
$1,477/yr
Cap rate
6.64%
Cash-on-cash
1.24%
DSCR
1.06
1% rule
0.89%
Cash to close
$119,000
Investor read
This is a 2 × 3-bed/2.0-bath units multifamily listed at $425k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $123 ($1k/yr) — positive. Per door: $62/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $380k (10.6% below list).
It's been on market 104 days — a 9% lower offer ($387k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $380k (10.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $13k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Pinellas (suburban): math 51% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #31 of 73 in FL (top 42%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: New Heights Elementary School (math 34% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,773 of 2,144 statewide, top 83%, 615 students, 81% FRL); St. Petersburg High School (math 31% / reading 61%, grade D-, #220 of 667 statewide, top 33%, 1,723 students, 39% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 307 active listings in the ZIP; 2,676 units permitted in Pinellas County in 2024 (1,422 in 5+ unit buildings).
Pinellas County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
11 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $340k; 25% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 2.6% in St. Petersburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $3,800/mo this rent would consume 61% of the median local household income ($75k/yr) (locally 1076% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 104 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 11% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-APRKGPCYM51GG1
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29