2 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,150 sqft ·
Built 1964
· Condo
· Pending
· 64 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,045/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,491
Tax + insurance
−$792
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$849
Net cashflow
$-87/mo
Annual
$-1,046/yr
Cap rate
6.07%
Cash-on-cash
-0.79%
DSCR
0.97
1% rule
0.85%
Cash to close
$133,000
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath condo listed at $475k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-87 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $462k (2.7% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $404k (14.8% below list).
It's been on market 64 days — a 6% lower offer ($446k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $404k (14.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $27k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $24k appreciation (5.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.0%/yr); 114 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 10,063 units permitted in Kings County in 2024 (9,789 in 5+ unit buildings).
Kings County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$43k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $4,045/mo this rent would consume 111% of the median local household income ($44k/yr) (locally 4426% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 64 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1964 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: Kitchen cabinets
— The cabinets appear to be in good condition with no visible damage.
Moderate: Bathroom fixtures
— The fixtures in the bathrooms appear dated and may need replacement.
Minor: Paint
— The paint on the walls appears slightly worn and may benefit from a fresh coat.
CashFlowRE · CFR-APZRGN4VRQ9SKJ
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29