303 22nd Ter

Blue Springs, MO 64015

$161,000B+

4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,376 sqft · Built 2024 · SingleFamily · Pending · 1 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $2,042/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$844
• Tax + insurance: −$104
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$429
• Net cashflow: $664/mo
• Annual: $7,973/yr
• Cap rate: 11.25%
• Cash-on-cash: 17.69%
• DSCR: 1.79
• 1% rule: 1.27%
• Cash to close: $45,080

Investor read

• This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $161k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $664 ($8k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $161k).
• Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 82/100 on livability (#11 in MO, #1,297 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute F.
• Blue Springs R-IV (suburban): math 55% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #17 of 324 in MO (top 5%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Zoned schools: Thomas J. Ultican Elem. (math 59% / reading 61%, grade B-, #120 of 1,115 statewide, top 11%, 430 students, 40% FRL); Paul Kinder Middle School (math 46% / reading 49%, grade C-, #88 of 391 statewide, top 24%, 729 students, 37% FRL); Blue Springs High (math 50% / reading 65%, grade C, #49 of 521 statewide, top 9%, 2,383 students, 28% FRL).
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.0%/yr); 142 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 4,002 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (2,271 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Jackson County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
• 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.0% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• Cap rate 11.2% vs local median 3.2% in Blue Springs — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Questions for listing agent

• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.