3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,044 sqft ·
Built 1950
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 45 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,886/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$787
Tax + insurance
−$168
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$396
Net cashflow
$535/mo
Annual
$6,422/yr
Cap rate
10.57%
Cash-on-cash
15.29%
DSCR
1.68
1% rule
1.26%
Cash to close
$42,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $535 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
It's been on market 45 days — a 3% lower offer ($145k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $145k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 59/100 on livability (#323 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, employment C-, amenities F.
Marshall County (rural): math 14% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #86 of 129 in AL (top 67%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Kate D Smith Dar Elementary School (math 27% / reading 52%, grade F, #243 of 627 statewide, top 41%, 585 students, 43% FRL); Kate Duncan Smith Dar Middle (math 13% / reading 54%, grade F, #99 of 257 statewide, top 39%, 364 students, 42% FRL); Kate D Smith Dar High School (math 32% / reading 52%, grade F, #28 of 305 statewide, top 10%, 394 students, 34% FRL) — zoned schools average 39% FRL vs 63% district-wide (24 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 38% at this address vs 26% district-wide (+12 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Marshall County average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 467 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 163 units permitted in Marshall County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 10.6% vs local median 2.1% in Guntersville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 45 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-AQ6B1VEVG7Z0D2
· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29