2 bd · 1.5 ba ·
805 sqft ·
Built 1978
· Manufactured
· Active
· 439 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,994/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,101
Tax + insurance
−$416
HOA
−$315
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$419
Net cashflow
$-258/mo
Annual
$-3,093/yr
Cap rate
5.20%
Cash-on-cash
-3.90%
DSCR
0.83
1% rule
0.95%
Cash to close
$58,800
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath manufactured listed at $210k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-258 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $173k (17.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $199k (5.1% below list).
It's been on market 439 days — a 12% lower offer ($185k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $173k (17.8% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#249 in FL, #3,935 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, health & safety A+, employment B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
Brevard (suburban): math 53% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #19 of 73 in FL (top 26%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Gemini Elementary School (math 80% / reading 79%, grade A, #116 of 2,144 statewide, top 6%, 468 students, 20% FRL); Herbert C. Hoover Middle School (math 67% / reading 64%, grade A-, #95 of 571 statewide, top 17%, 506 students, 38% FRL); Melbourne Senior High School (math 43% / reading 57%, grade D+, #175 of 667 statewide, top 27%, 2,249 students, 31% FRL).
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
Market conditions: 219 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 4,602 units permitted in Brevard County in 2024 (702 in 5+ unit buildings).
Brevard County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 439 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
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