4 bd · 3.0 ba ·
1,676 sqft ·
Built 2004
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 15 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,265/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,495
Tax + insurance
−$339
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$476
Net cashflow
$-44/mo
Annual
$-527/yr
Cap rate
6.11%
Cash-on-cash
-0.66%
DSCR
0.97
1% rule
0.79%
Cash to close
$79,800
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $285k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-44 ($-527/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $277k (2.7% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $227k (20.5% below list).
It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($281k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $227k (20.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $30k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $28k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#60 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Paulding County (suburban): math 39% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #33 of 174 in GA (top 19%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Union Elementary School (math 49% / reading 40%, grade F, #336 of 1,228 statewide, top 29%, 465 students, 42% FRL); Carl Scoggins Sr. Middle School (math 29% / reading 40%, grade F, #196 of 470 statewide, top 42%, 760 students, 47% FRL); South Paulding High School (math 20% / reading 32%, grade F, #175 of 424 statewide, top 42%, 1,911 students, 36% FRL).
Market conditions: 191 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 1,458 units permitted in Paulding County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Paulding County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
8 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $168k; list at $285k implies a 69% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $80k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$49k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 4.8% in Temple — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-AQ7417180B5Y7N
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29