3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,048 sqft ·
Built 2000
· Manufactured
· Pending
· 46 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,365/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$917
Tax + insurance
−$406
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$287
Net cashflow
$-245/mo
Annual
$-2,939/yr
Cap rate
4.61%
Cash-on-cash
-6.00%
DSCR
0.73
1% rule
0.78%
Cash to close
$48,972
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $175k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-245 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $132k (24.7% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $136k (22.0% below list).
It's been on market 46 days — a 3% lower offer ($170k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $132k (24.7% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $19k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $17k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#808 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Huntington ISD (rural): math 46% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #303 of 826 in TX (top 37%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Huntington El (math 42% / reading 42%, grade F, #1,335 of 4,322 statewide, top 33%, 482 students, 67% FRL); Huntington Middle (math 51% / reading 38%, grade D, #491 of 1,662 statewide, top 31%, 371 students, 54% FRL); Huntington H S (math 52% / reading 52%, grade D+, #447 of 1,632 statewide, top 29%, 499 students, 52% FRL).
Market conditions: 113 active listings in the ZIP; 120 units permitted in Angelina County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 4.6% vs local median 2.0% in Huntington — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 46 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 25% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
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· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29