2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
959 sqft ·
Built 1914
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 258 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$880/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$577
Tax + insurance
−$173
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$185
Net cashflow
$-54/mo
Annual
$-651/yr
Cap rate
5.70%
Cash-on-cash
-2.11%
DSCR
0.91
1% rule
0.80%
Cash to close
$30,800
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-54 ($-651/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $100k (8.7% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $88k (20.0% below list).
It's been on market 258 days — a 12% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $88k (20.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#160 in IA, #2,902 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
Forest City Community School District (town): math 67% / reading 78% proficiency, ranked #111 of 289 in IA (top 38%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
Watch-outs: built in 1914 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 45 active listings in the ZIP; 6 units permitted in Winnebago County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Winnebago County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Current owner paid $76k; 45% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 4.1% in Forest City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 258 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 20% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1914 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
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· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29