4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,680 sqft ·
Built 1981
· Manufactured
· Active
· 64 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,020/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$733
Tax + insurance
−$91
HOA
−$995
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$424
Net cashflow
$-224/mo
Annual
$-2,684/yr
Cap rate
4.37%
Cash-on-cash
-6.86%
DSCR
0.69
1% rule
1.44%
Cash to close
$39,144
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $140k. Condition is rated poor.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-224 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $100k (28.3% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
It's been on market 64 days — a 6% lower offer ($131k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $100k (28.3% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $967 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#315 in MN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Anoka-Hennepin Public School District (suburban): math 49% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #71 of 301 in MN (top 24%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Madison Elementary (math 57% / reading 62%, grade B-, #216 of 857 statewide, top 29%, 407 students, 55% FRL); Northdale Middle (math 40% / reading 55%, grade C-, #93 of 258 statewide, top 37%, 1,274 students, 46% FRL); Blaine High School (math 46% / reading 67%, grade C, #77 of 471 statewide, top 17%, 2,969 students, 37% FRL) — zoned schools average 46% FRL vs 24% district-wide (21 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: HOA is 49% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.8%/yr); 182 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 36d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,083 units permitted in Anoka County in 2024 (134 in 5+ unit buildings).
Anoka County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 64 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 28% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: kitchen
— No kitchen visible
Major: bathrooms
— No bathrooms visible
Major: roof
— No roof visible
Major: exterior
— No exterior visible
Major: HVAC/mechanicals
— No HVAC or mechanicals visible
CashFlowRE · CFR-AQVMTMD1QSZN66
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29