4 bd · 3.0 ba ·
3,388 sqft ·
Built 1986
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 15 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$5,000/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,071
Tax + insurance
−$658
HOA
−$243
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,050
Net cashflow
$977/mo
Annual
$11,727/yr
Cap rate
9.26%
Cash-on-cash
10.60%
DSCR
1.47
1% rule
1.27%
Cash to close
$110,600
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $395k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $977 ($12k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $395k).
It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($389k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $389k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $42k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $40k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#884 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
Wallenpaupack Area SD (rural): math 39% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #192 of 539 in PA (top 36%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 371 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 213 units permitted in Pike County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Pike County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $111k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$68k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 9.3% vs local median 7.1% in Hemlock Farms — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Questions for listing agent
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: roof
— The independent satellite image shows visible damage and potential leaks.
Minor: exterior siding
— The exterior siding appears to have some discoloration and wear.
Minor: landscaping
— The landscaping and curb appeal appear to have some overgrown areas and debris.
CashFlowRE · CFR-AR7AR1DWX4PB75
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29