2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
736 sqft ·
Built 1945
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 18 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,531/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,127
Tax + insurance
−$260
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$321
Net cashflow
$-178/mo
Annual
$-2,136/yr
Cap rate
5.30%
Cash-on-cash
-3.55%
DSCR
0.84
1% rule
0.71%
Cash to close
$60,200
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $215k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-178 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $184k (14.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $153k (28.8% below list).
It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($212k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $153k (28.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $23k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $22k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#686 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A-; Watch: employment C-, cost of living C-, amenities F.
Chatham Central School District (rural): math 48% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #353 of 590 in NY (top 60%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Mary E Dardess Elementary School (math 32% / reading 52%, grade F, #1,361 of 2,108 statewide, top 67%, 360 students, 45% FRL); Chatham Middle School (math 37% / reading 57%, grade D+, #315 of 729 statewide, top 45%, 186 students, 44% FRL); Chatham High School (math 92% / reading 75%, grade A, #409 of 1,100 statewide, top 39%, 323 students, 41% FRL) — zoned schools average 43% FRL vs 26% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 31 active listings in the ZIP; 136 units permitted in Columbia County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Columbia County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 5.3% vs local median 2.5% in Chatham — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-AS373097YW892S
· Data 20 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29