3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,121 sqft ·
Built 1945
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 238 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$979/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$233
Tax + insurance
−$74
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$206
Net cashflow
$466/mo
Annual
$5,592/yr
Cap rate
18.86%
Cash-on-cash
44.88%
DSCR
3.00
1% rule
2.20%
Cash to close
$12,460
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $44k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $466 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($979 rent vs $44k).
It's been on market 238 days — a 12% lower offer ($39k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $39k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $4k of equity ($308 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (7.3% local appreciation)).
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#186 in KS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
Russell County (town): math 22% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #144 of 169 in KS (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Bickerdyke Elem (math 34% / reading 37%, grade F, #386 of 684 statewide, top 56%, 228 students, 55% FRL); Ruppenthal Middle (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #180 of 219 statewide, top 83%, 186 students, 59% FRL); Russell High (math 15% / reading 15%, grade F, #249 of 327 statewide, top 79%, 207 students, 55% FRL) — zoned schools average 56% FRL vs 41% district-wide (15 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 44 active listings in the ZIP; 6 units permitted in Russell County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Russell County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
5 sale attempts since 9y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $14k (24%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (7.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $12k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 238 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-ASHMT07Q16S53Y
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29