2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
885 sqft ·
Built 1974
· Condo
· Active
· 40 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,895/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$959
Tax + insurance
−$414
HOA
−$340
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$398
Net cashflow
$-216/mo
Annual
$-2,592/yr
Cap rate
5.24%
Cash-on-cash
-3.76%
DSCR
0.83
1% rule
1.04%
Cash to close
$51,212
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $183k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-216 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $145k (20.9% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $183k).
It's been on market 40 days — a 3% lower offer ($177k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $145k (20.9% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 84/100 on livability (#39 in WI, #819 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, housing A+.
Madison Metropolitan School District (urban): math 35% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #193 of 342 in WI (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Crestwood Elementary (math 42% / reading 62%, grade C-, #215 of 1,041 statewide, top 23%, 272 students, 34% FRL); Vel Phillips Memorial High (math 43% / reading 54%, grade D, #46 of 483 statewide, top 10%, 2,025 students, 39% FRL).
Zoned-school proficiency averages 50% at this address vs 38% district-wide (+13 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Madison Metropolitan School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo.
Market conditions: 38 active listings in the ZIP; 30 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 5,519 units permitted in Dane County in 2024 (3,978 in 5+ unit buildings).
Dane County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.2% vs local median 2.4% in Madison — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 40 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 21% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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· Data 5 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29