4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,586 sqft ·
Built 2015
· Other
· Under Contract
· 34 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,548/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$393
Tax + insurance
−$125
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$535
Net cashflow
$1,494/mo
Annual
$17,933/yr
Cap rate
30.20%
Cash-on-cash
85.40%
DSCR
4.80
1% rule
3.40%
Cash to close
$21,000
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $75k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($18k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $75k).
It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($73k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $73k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#127 in MI, #3,163 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
Rochester Community School District (suburban): math 60% / reading 69% proficiency, ranked #21 of 540 in MI (top 4%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 10% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Mcgregor Elementary School (math 47% / reading 47%, grade D-, #433 of 1,397 statewide, top 34%, 450 students, 37% FRL); Hart Middle School (math 49% / reading 69%, grade C+, #87 of 713 statewide, top 12%, 1,032 students, 17% FRL); Stoney Creek High School (math 65% / reading 80%, grade B+, #25 of 713 statewide, top 4%, 1,524 students, 13% FRL).
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.8%/yr); 216 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 0d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,614 units permitted in Oakland County in 2024 (721 in 5+ unit buildings).
Oakland County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.8% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 30.2% vs local median 2.8% in Rochester Hills — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-AT0TRRCPGN9SMH
· Data 5 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29