2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,135 sqft ·
Built 1920
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 177 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$932/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$629
Tax + insurance
−$136
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$196
Net cashflow
$-29/mo
Annual
$-347/yr
Cap rate
6.00%
Cash-on-cash
-1.03%
DSCR
0.95
1% rule
0.78%
Cash to close
$33,600
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-29 ($-347/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $115k (4.3% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $93k (22.3% below list).
It's been on market 177 days — a 12% lower offer ($106k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $93k (22.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $13k of equity ($830 loan paydown + $12k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#181 in IA, #3,246 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
West Central Valley Community School District (rural): math 68% / reading 75% proficiency, ranked #115 of 289 in IA (top 40%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 31 active listings in the ZIP; 21 units permitted in Guthrie County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Guthrie County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $60k (33%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $80k; list at $120k implies a 50% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 177 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 22% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-AT88P68BYW9315
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29