None bd · None ba ·
1,613 sqft ·
Built 1930
· Condo
· Active
· 187 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,278/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$682
Tax + insurance
−$217
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$268
Net cashflow
$111/mo
Annual
$1,332/yr
Cap rate
7.32%
Cash-on-cash
3.66%
DSCR
1.16
1% rule
0.98%
Cash to close
$36,400
Investor read
This is a condo listed at $130k. Condition is rated poor.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $111 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $128k (1.7% below list).
It's been on market 187 days — a 12% lower offer ($114k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $114k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $899 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 59/100 on livability (#120 in NM) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: amenities D+, crime F, commute F.
Las Cruces Public Schools (urban): math 42% / reading 68% proficiency, ranked #5 of 29 in NM (top 17%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Central Elementary (163 students, 100% FRL); Sierra Middle (799 students, 100% FRL); Las Cruces High (math 34% / reading 64%, grade D, #51 of 110 statewide, top 50%, 1,787 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 62% district-wide (38 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.5%/yr); 147 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 964 units permitted in Doña Ana County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
At $1,278/mo this rent would consume 46% of the median local household income ($33k/yr) (locally 2590% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 187 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: Exterior walls
— Significant damage and missing siding
Major: Roof
— Significant damage
Major: Flooring
— Significant damage
Major: Interior walls/paint
— Significant damage and missing paint
Major: Bathrooms
— Significant damage
Major: Kitchen
— Significant damage
CashFlowRE · CFR-ATFVFBAQ27XXT9
· Data 3 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29