2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
855 sqft ·
Built 2024
· Condo
· Pending
· 41 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,736/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,346
Tax + insurance
−$428
HOA
−$40
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$365
Net cashflow
$-443/mo
Annual
$-5,311/yr
Cap rate
4.22%
Cash-on-cash
-7.39%
DSCR
0.67
1% rule
0.68%
Cash to close
$71,870
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $200k. Condition is rated excellent.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-443 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $193k (3.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $174k (13.2% below list).
It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($194k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $174k (13.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#72 in OR, #3,256 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
Portland SD 1J (urban): math 46% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #23 of 183 in OR (top 13%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Rigler Elementary School (223 students, 65% FRL); Beaumont Middle School (446 students, 65% FRL); Leodis V. Mcdaniel High School (1,440 students, 65% FRL) — zoned schools average 65% FRL vs 37% district-wide (28 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.3%/yr); 63 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,041 units permitted in Multnomah County in 2024 (905 in 5+ unit buildings).
Multnomah County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Cap rate 4.2% vs local median 2.2% in Portland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-ATPC2M5BBH9ZDQ
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29