1 bd · 1.0 ba ·
516 sqft ·
Built 2015
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 33 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,466/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$608
Tax + insurance
−$193
HOA
−$420
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$308
Net cashflow
$-64/mo
Annual
$-763/yr
Cap rate
5.64%
Cash-on-cash
-2.35%
DSCR
0.90
1% rule
1.26%
Cash to close
$32,480
Investor read
This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $116k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-64 ($-763/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $107k (7.9% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $116k).
It's been on market 33 days — a 3% lower offer ($113k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $107k (7.9% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $802 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 60/100 on livability (#253 in CO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: housing D, crime F, amenities F.
Custer County School District Consolidate 1 (rural): math 30% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #55 of 176 in CO (top 31%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Custer County Elementary School (math 30% / reading 34%, grade F, #469 of 966 statewide, top 49%, 165 students, 42% FRL); Custer Middle School (math 17% / reading 44%, grade F, #127 of 270 statewide, top 47%, 75 students, 33% FRL); Custer County High School (math 50% / reading 70%, grade C+, #53 of 381 statewide, top 17%, 114 students, 33% FRL) — zoned schools at 36% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: HOA is 29% of rent.
Market conditions: 283 active listings in the ZIP; 117 units permitted in Custer County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
2 sale attempts since 9y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $27k (19%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $52k; list at $116k implies a 123% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.6% vs local median 2.5% in Silver Cliff — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 33 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 8% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-AW5AQ6DBV08VYC
· Data 1 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29