3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
880 sqft ·
Built 1967
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 77 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$945/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$619
Tax + insurance
−$160
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$198
Net cashflow
$-32/mo
Annual
$-381/yr
Cap rate
5.97%
Cash-on-cash
-1.15%
DSCR
0.95
1% rule
0.80%
Cash to close
$33,040
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $118k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-32 ($-381/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $112k (4.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $94k (19.9% below list).
It's been on market 77 days — a 6% lower offer ($111k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $94k (19.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $5k of equity ($816 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (3.8% local appreciation)).
Location reads 60/100 on livability (#825 in IA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, health & safety D+, employment D.
Wapello Community School District (rural): math 52% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #267 of 289 in IA (top 92%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Market conditions: 2 active listings in the ZIP; 9 units permitted in Louisa County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Louisa County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Current owner paid $96k; 22% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (3.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $33k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 77 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 20% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-AWMHE435K212EK
· Data 52 min agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29