2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,511 sqft ·
Built 1900
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 97 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,087/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$603
Tax + insurance
−$192
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$228
Net cashflow
$64/mo
Annual
$770/yr
Cap rate
6.96%
Cash-on-cash
2.39%
DSCR
1.11
1% rule
0.95%
Cash to close
$32,200
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $115k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $64 ($770/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $109k (5.5% below list).
It's been on market 97 days — a 9% lower offer ($105k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $105k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $5k of equity ($795 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.7% local appreciation)).
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#259 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, crime A-; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
Clarendon ISD (rural): math 49% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #175 of 826 in TX (top 21%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 50 active listings in the ZIP; 1 units permitted in Donley County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Donley County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (3.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 97 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: exterior siding
— Some discoloration
Minor: interior walls
— Painted walls with some wear
Minor: kitchen cabinets
— Dated cabinets
Minor: bathroom fixtures
— Dated fixtures
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· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29