3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,080 sqft ·
Built 1995
· Manufactured
· Active
· 258 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,900/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$466
Tax + insurance
−$242
HOA
−$1,318
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$399
Net cashflow
$-525/mo
Annual
$-6,297/yr
Cap rate
-0.79%
Cash-on-cash
-25.30%
DSCR
-0.13
1% rule
2.14%
Cash to close
$24,892
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $89k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-525 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $26k (70.2% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $89k).
It's been on market 258 days — a 12% lower offer ($78k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $26k (70.2% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $3k of equity ($615 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 61/100 on livability (#89 in NH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+; Watch: health & safety C-, housing D, amenities F.
Shaker Regional School District (rural): math 27% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #70 of 98 in NH (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Belmont Elementary School (math 27% / reading 32%, grade F, #201 of 263 statewide, top 82%, 334 students, 40% FRL); Belmont Middle School (math 21% / reading 46%, grade F, #59 of 96 statewide, top 61%, 345 students, 31% FRL); Belmont High School (math 32% / reading 52%, grade F, #56 of 90 statewide, top 64%, 366 students, 27% FRL) — zoned schools at 33% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: property tax is 2.8% of price; HOA is 69% of rent.
Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 301 units permitted in Belknap County in 2024 (32 in 5+ unit buildings).
Belknap County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
4 sale attempts since 21y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (22%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate -0.8% vs local median 1.7% in Belmont — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 258 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 70% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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