4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,322 sqft ·
Built 1900
· MultiFamily
· Under Contract
· 102 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,194/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$891
Tax + insurance
−$283
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$881
Net cashflow
$2,138/mo
Annual
$25,661/yr
Cap rate
21.39%
Cash-on-cash
53.91%
DSCR
3.40
1% rule
2.47%
Cash to close
$47,600
Investor read
This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $170k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($26k/yr) — positive. Per door: $1k/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $170k).
It's been on market 102 days — a 9% lower offer ($155k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $155k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $13k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $12k appreciation (7.1% local appreciation)).
Location reads 76/100 on livability (#58 in CT, #3,553 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D-, crime F, employment F.
Hartford School District (urban): math 13% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #150 of 153 in CT (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 84% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.8%/yr); 21 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,867 units permitted in Capitol Planning Region in 2024 (1,399 in 5+ unit buildings).
6 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (7.1% appreciation + 2.8% rent growth), your $48k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
At $4,194/mo this rent would consume 144% of the median local household income ($35k/yr) (locally 1435% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 102 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
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· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29