3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,143 sqft ·
Built 2026
· Land
· Pending
· 20 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,056/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,400
Tax + insurance
−$445
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$432
Net cashflow
$-220/mo
Annual
$-2,638/yr
Cap rate
5.30%
Cash-on-cash
-3.53%
DSCR
0.84
1% rule
0.77%
Cash to close
$74,732
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath land listed at $267k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-220 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $235k (11.9% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $206k (22.9% below list).
It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($263k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $206k (22.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $22k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $20k appreciation (7.5% local appreciation)).
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#98 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, cost of living A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Pea Ridge School District (suburban): math 43% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #43 of 238 in AR (top 18%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 423 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 4,359 units permitted in Benton County in 2024 (402 in 5+ unit buildings).
Benton County population projected at +56% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.3% vs local median 3.4% in Pea Ridge — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-AXK53C1SXC2D3Z
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29