3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,165 sqft ·
Built 1935
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 111 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$9,573/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,617
Tax + insurance
−$1,330
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$2,010
Net cashflow
$3,616/mo
Annual
$43,391/yr
Cap rate
16.01%
Cash-on-cash
34.72%
DSCR
2.54
1% rule
1.92%
Cash to close
$139,720
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath multifamily listed at $499k. Condition is rated poor.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $4k ($43k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($10k rent vs $499k).
It's been on market 111 days — a 9% lower offer ($454k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $454k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-1.8%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#177 in FL, #2,724 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F, cost of living F.
Miami-Dade (suburban): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #40 of 73 in FL (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Riverside Elementary School (math 23% / reading 23%, grade F, #2,070 of 2,144 statewide, top 97%, 993 students, 56% FRL); Jose De Diego Middle School (math 20% / reading 24%, grade F, #549 of 571 statewide, top 97%, 868 students, 68% FRL); Booker T. Washington Senior High (math 12% / reading 19%, grade F, #604 of 667 statewide, top 91%, 1,014 students, 60% FRL) — zoned schools at 61% FRL track the district average.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 20% at this address vs 50% district-wide (-29 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Miami-Dade average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; built in 1935 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.5%/yr); 838 active listings in the ZIP; 29 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 40d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 72% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $761k (60%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $95k; list at $499k implies a 425% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-1.8% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $140k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→31/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 111 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1935 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: roof
— Significant wear and possible leaks
Major: exterior siding
— Exposed and peeling
Major: interior walls
— Significant paint wear
Major: windows
— Visible damage and possible rot
Major: HVAC system
— Likely outdated and in need of replacement
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· Data 15 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29