3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,404 sqft ·
Built 1963
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 199 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,102/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$786
Tax + insurance
−$105
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$232
Net cashflow
$-19/mo
Annual
$-232/yr
Cap rate
6.14%
Cash-on-cash
-0.55%
DSCR
0.98
1% rule
0.74%
Cash to close
$41,944
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-19 ($-232/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $146k (2.3% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $110k (26.4% below list).
It's been on market 199 days — a 12% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $110k (26.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $10k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $9k appreciation (6.1% local appreciation)).
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#77 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, health & safety D, amenities F.
Houston County (rural): math 25% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #38 of 129 in AL (top 30%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Webb Elementary School (math 24% / reading 49%, grade F, #281 of 627 statewide, top 45%, 461 students, 78% FRL); Houston County High School (math 8% / reading 32%, grade F, #165 of 305 statewide, top 55%, 322 students, 81% FRL) — zoned schools average 80% FRL vs 52% district-wide (27 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 26 active listings in the ZIP; 463 units permitted in Houston County in 2024 (96 in 5+ unit buildings).
Houston County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
At projected returns (6.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 199 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 26% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1963 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-AXWJCC0HT4CRTB
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29