3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,368 sqft ·
Built 1986
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 20 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,900/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,046
Tax + insurance
−$133
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$399
Net cashflow
$322/mo
Annual
$3,861/yr
Cap rate
8.23%
Cash-on-cash
6.91%
DSCR
1.31
1% rule
0.95%
Cash to close
$55,860
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $322 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $190k (4.8% below list).
It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($197k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $190k (4.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 61/100 on livability (#235 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Marshall County (rural): math 14% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #86 of 129 in AL (top 67%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Kate D Smith Dar Elementary School (math 27% / reading 52%, grade F, #243 of 627 statewide, top 41%, 585 students, 43% FRL); Kate Duncan Smith Dar Middle (math 13% / reading 54%, grade F, #99 of 257 statewide, top 39%, 364 students, 42% FRL); Kate D Smith Dar High School (math 32% / reading 52%, grade F, #28 of 305 statewide, top 10%, 394 students, 34% FRL) — zoned schools average 39% FRL vs 63% district-wide (24 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 38% at this address vs 26% district-wide (+12 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Marshall County average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Market conditions: 97 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 163 units permitted in Marshall County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Current owner paid $100k; list at $200k implies a 100% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 2.6% in Grant — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-AY0JQK3R72JZH5
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29