3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,232 sqft ·
Built 1997
· Manufactured
· Pending
· 100 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,239/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$354
Tax + insurance
−$177
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$260
Net cashflow
$449/mo
Annual
$5,385/yr
Cap rate
14.28%
Cash-on-cash
28.51%
DSCR
2.27
1% rule
1.84%
Cash to close
$18,886
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $67k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $449 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $67k).
It's been on market 100 days — a 9% lower offer ($61k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $61k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-1.3%/yr); year-one equity from $466 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $875 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 62/100 on livability (#846 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
Granville Central School District (town): math 38% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #521 of 590 in NY (top 88%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Granville Junior-Senior High School (math 57% / reading 42%, grade D, #974 of 1,100 statewide, top 91%, 496 students, 40% FRL) — zoned schools at 40% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price.
Market conditions: 59 active listings in the ZIP; 106 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Washington County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (-1.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 100 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-AYS1VCFQG7J91Q
· Data 6 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29