3 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,272 sqft ·
Built 1900
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 218 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,075/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$323
Tax + insurance
−$255
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$226
Net cashflow
$271/mo
Annual
$3,255/yr
Cap rate
11.58%
Cash-on-cash
18.87%
DSCR
1.84
1% rule
1.75%
Cash to close
$17,248
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $62k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $271 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $62k).
It's been on market 218 days — a 12% lower offer ($54k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $54k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $7k of equity ($426 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 60/100 on livability (#973 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: employment C-, crime F, amenities F.
Cattaraugus-Little Valley Central School District (rural): math 42% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #460 of 590 in NY (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: property tax is 4.5% of price; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 21 active listings in the ZIP; 128 units permitted in Cattaraugus County in 2024 (21 in 5+ unit buildings).
Cattaraugus County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
4 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $23k (28%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 218 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-AZ0PK051HCMGP0
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29