3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,792 sqft ·
Built 2001
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 74 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,207/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,049
Tax + insurance
−$296
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$464
Net cashflow
$399/mo
Annual
$4,788/yr
Cap rate
8.69%
Cash-on-cash
8.55%
DSCR
1.38
1% rule
1.10%
Cash to close
$56,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $399 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $200k).
It's been on market 74 days — a 6% lower offer ($188k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $188k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 57/100 on livability (#269 in SC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Colleton 01 (rural): math 13% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #69 of 80 in SC (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Northside Elementary (math 14% / reading 22%, grade F, #508 of 597 statewide, top 86%, 452 students, 100% FRL); Colleton County Middle (math 8% / reading 18%, grade F, #210 of 229 statewide, top 93%, 1,121 students, 100% FRL); Colleton County High (math 28% / reading 80%, grade C-, #137 of 196 statewide, top 70%, 1,497 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 69% district-wide (31 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 222 active listings in the ZIP; 50 units permitted in Colleton County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Colleton County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $70k; list at $200k implies a 186% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 74 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-AZ808K0PMST66C
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29