2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,566 sqft ·
Built 2005
· Manufactured
· Pending
· 36 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,245/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,201
Tax + insurance
−$165
HOA
−$426
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$471
Net cashflow
$-18/mo
Annual
$-213/yr
Cap rate
6.20%
Cash-on-cash
-0.33%
DSCR
0.99
1% rule
0.98%
Cash to close
$64,120
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $229k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-18 ($-213/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $226k (1.4% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $225k (2.0% below list).
It's been on market 36 days — a 3% lower offer ($222k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $222k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#655 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
Charlotte (suburban): math 54% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #22 of 73 in FL (top 30%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Kingsway Elementary School (math 55% / reading 53%, grade C, #936 of 2,144 statewide, top 44%, 596 students, 58% FRL); Port Charlotte Middle School (math 59% / reading 50%, grade B-, #183 of 571 statewide, top 34%, 877 students, 55% FRL); Charlotte High School (math 44% / reading 46%, grade D-, #228 of 667 statewide, top 35%, 1,994 students, 41% FRL) — zoned schools at 51% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: Rents falling (-4.0%/yr); 603 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,585 units permitted in Charlotte County in 2024 (703 in 5+ unit buildings).
Charlotte County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Current owner paid $28k; list at $229k implies a 718% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 4.2% in Port Charlotte — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($64k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 36 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-AZQFM59NAF88E5
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29